UK Mainstream Sales Market Predictions For Late 2025

Savills has trimmed its outlook for the mainstream UK sales market in 2025 to around +1%, down from the +4% it held earlier in the year. The change reflects the ongoing drag from stamp duty, a softer economic backdrop and the usual pause that arrives ahead of a Budget when buyers and sellers wait to see if tax rules will shift. Even so, a positive figure though modest, still points to prices edging forwards rather than slipping back.

Tax Changes

As ever, the pre-Budget guessing game around possible tax changes is already causing some to delay decisions.

It is worth noting that values remain near record levels. The latest Land Registry data (17 September) puts the average UK home at £270,000,  roughly £8,000 higher than a year ago.

A number of indices report monthly price movement, but Land Registry is still the most complete because it captures both mortgage and cash transactions. Its only drawback is lag, the figures are roughly six weeks behind the market, which is why lender data from Nationwide or Halifax can appear more current even though it covers fewer sales.

House Prices in Your Area

For those wanting to see what is happening locally, the ONS “house prices in your area” tool based on Land Registry remains the simplest way to view trends by borough or local authority.